According to an editorial from the New York Times, Donald Trump's campaign rhetoric could be a clue about what his government would be like. The president-elect has proposed concerning measures, such as using state resources to pursue his political enemies and deporting millions of foreigners in the United States. He has also suggested imposing significant tariffs on Chinese products and other imports, violating international agreements. However, Trump's unpredictability is a factor to consider, as demonstrated by a previous attempt to withdraw from NAFTA in 2017.
During that episode, Trump left a document ready for the withdrawal from NAFTA that was discovered and removed by a staff member. Ultimately, after being convinced by businessmen to renegotiate the agreement, USMCA emerged. Some analysts see a potential positive side in a second term for Trump for Mexico, speculating that tariffs on Chinese products could benefit the country by increasing its presence in the US market.
Additionally, it is suggested that a depreciation of the peso could offset the proposed tariffs. While it is essential to understand the profound impact of a possible Trump victory, it is expected that his team will be more efficient than in 2017. The relationship between Mexico and the United States is crucial, especially if the Republicans retain control of the Senate and there is competition in the House of Representatives.
The potential threat of a Donald Trump presidency, backed by both chambers of Congress and a majority in the Supreme Court, should not be overlooked, according to polls. It is vital to closely monitor future events to anticipate the repercussions.
