A majority of voters, seven out of ten, believe the economy is on the wrong track. Today, 34% of Americans say they have a great deal or quite a lot of confidence that Trump has the leadership skills necessary to be president. The remarkable thing in this case is that he achieved it in a district where Trump had won in 2024 by 17 percentage points. The more desperate he gets, the more reckless he will become.
Polls The popularity of U.S. President Donald Trump and his management in his second term point to a marked downward trend. However, for the first time in this second term of the magnate, Republicans consider it possible to lose the upper house of Congress, the Senate, where they currently enjoy a majority of 53 to 47. Controlling Congress would allow Democrats to almost completely neutralize Trump's agenda.
The right-wing opposition stokes and exaggerates organized crime, social conflicts, and all forms of destructive behavior to question the government of the Fourth Transformation. The Trump presidency and its officials use fear to undermine the Mexican project, resorting to fear as an instrument of collective domination or social conditioning.
There are two polling firms (PEW and AP-NORC) that, at the end of January 2026, indicated that the Trump administration is going through a crisis of public support. Overall, his approval is at 37%, the lowest point of his current presidency, reflected in the following sectors:
- Hispanics and African Americans.
And the federal government should not allow it. At least 11 of the 50, all Republican-led states, have handed them over. Polls show that 61% of Americans believe his tariff policies have worsened the cost of living, which has alienated independent voters. Specifically, regarding a 37% approval rating, Trump enters a "danger zone" where lawmakers from his own party (Republicans, especially moderates) begin to distance themselves to protect their own seats in Congress.
Above all, it would open the door to what Republicans fear most: an impeachment that could lead to his removal. Throughout the first year of his second term, Trump has pressured lawmakers in Republican-controlled states to approve changes to electoral maps that favor his party. "I call on all Republicans to fight for the 'Save America Act,'" he wrote. He talks about "nationalizing elections." The organization of elections corresponds to the states, as stipulated by the Constitution, but Trump asserts that "Republicans should say: 'We want to take charge' in at least 15 places. 'We are not going to sit by while they steal our elections again.'"
Furthermore, the Department of Justice has been pressuring states since last year to obtain their electoral records and has filed lawsuits against about half of them to get them. Republicans would have to "nationalize the vote," he maintained. If this trend continues unchanged, the Republican Party could be the loser on November 3rd. He also supports a bill known as the Save Act, which would ban mail-in voting except in exceptional cases and would require proof of U.S. citizenship at the time of voting, even though it is already illegal for a foreigner to vote, and it is highly unlikely to occur.
As polls have raised the alert level among Republicans, Trump has also raised the tone with threats of Democratic fraud and the need to take action. "I will accept them if the elections are honest," Trump assured, who usually expresses doubts that Democratic electoral victories were rigged. A growing wave of rejection is emerging against this distortion of diplomacy that has become resorting to force to justify expansionism and intervention.
Although the Trump government is a declining empire, at the same time it is a threat willing to defend itself violently to prevent its decline. At the National Prayer Breakfast organized by lawmakers from both parties, he asked, "How can a Christian vote for Democrats?" His statements have been reinforced by those of Steve Bannon, a former advisor and now an influential ideologue of the most conservative right, who claims that undocumented immigrants are swarming to the polls in the United States.
A bipartisan group in the Senate (Democrats and Republicans) is trying to legislate to strip the president of the power to impose unilateral tariffs, arguing that his "trade war" is driving up the cost of living in the U.S. While Trump's environment seeks $1.5 trillion in cuts, moderate Republican senators are holding out for just $4 billion, fearing that such an aggressive cut could cost them their seats in the November 2026 elections. Overall, about seven in ten adults (71%) say they are very concerned about the cost of healthcare, while 66% feel the same about the price of food and consumer goods.
That meeting will also be attended by representatives from the Department of Justice and Homeland Security, the postal service, and the electoral commission. Meanwhile, Democrats continue to reap encouraging results. It is now considered likely that the Democratic opposition will gain control of the lower house of Congress, the House of Representatives, where the Republican advantage is only four seats out of 435.
In that unusual operation, in one of the places where Trump has always claimed without evidence that there was fraud, the Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, was present, who says she attended at the president's own order. "I think we have a president who cannot get over the fact that he lost in 2020 and now he is going to do everything he can to make sure he doesn't get another shellacking in 2026," Democratic Senator Mark Warner declared to the press this week. In another unusual step, this week, the FBI has sent an invitation to high-ranking election officials from various states to a meeting to address "preparations" for the midterm elections.
In Trump's diplomacy, there are no allies or adversaries; for trumpism, there are only those who submit and those who must be subjugated. As there is abundant evidence, President Trump has integrated trade tariffs into coercive diplomacy. Likewise, about half say they do not have much confidence, or none, that Trump has the mental aptitude (52%) or physical fitness (50%) to hold the office. Approximately three in ten express confidence in these indicators.
If Trump fails to stabilize the economy and clarify the use of funds abroad, the 2026 midterm elections could leave the U.S. president very weakened with nearly three years of his term remaining. Threats to "Nationalize" Elections A series of statements by Trump and actions by his government lead analysts and politicians to believe that the president intends to interfere in the November midterm elections. More recently, President Trump reiterated his ambition to acquire Greenland by any means, confirming that coercion without armed invasion continues to erode international law.
The American rhetoric of "dealing with other countries from a position of strength" or seeking "peace through force" essentially consists of intimidating the weak through military power. He uses them not only as tools of economic protection but also as a weapon of war, with Cuba and Gaza being among the most evident cases. The kidnapping of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro does not constitute only an act of coercive diplomacy but also a military invasion of a sovereign nation.
In turn, it has been revealed that large sums of those funds ended up benefiting companies whose executives were key donors to Trump's 2024 campaign (see the case of the trading company Vitol). He accuses that "U.S. elections are rigged, stolen, and are the laughingstock of the world." The fact that even among the over-65 age group (his most loyal base) he only has a modest margin is an alarm signal for Republicans heading into the 2026 midterms.
- Cost of Living.
He would have to intervene." In an interview with NBC, the head of state — as he did in 2020 — pointed out that if the election results are unfavorable to him, he might not recognize them. In practice, the narco-terrorists are them, even though they accuse us of being it. His strategy is to generate a state of anxiety in society, ignoring the fact that insecurity largely stems from the drug demand of Americans and that the high-powered weapons used by organized crime come from factories in the United States.
Lacking their own project, the ultranationalist right feeds the discourse of fear to attract social groups affected by the crisis and become spokesmen for Trump and his colonialist proposal. The Mexican right-wing opposition prefers to subordinate itself to the trumpist project rather than accept the proposal of the fourth transformation. Also on Tuesday, Bannon threatened to deploy Immigration and Customs Enforcement (the dreaded ICE) at polling stations.
For the first time, even within the Republican Party, confidence in his "work ethic" has fallen from 55% to 42%. Faced with these numbers, the president's strategy seems to be to "entrench" himself in his MAGA "Make America Great Again" base, which advocates for American nationalism, "America First" protectionist policies, and a return to traditional values. It is not just about low poll numbers, but also about legislative paralysis and a corruption scandal that touches the very fiber of "America First."
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In other words, to commit fraud. Polls point to a decline in his popularity, dragged down by two of the themes of his campaign. The disapproval figures (especially that 71.8% among African Americans and 45.8% among Hispanics) suggest that the radical policies of this first year, such as mass deportations and ICE raids, have reversed those gains.
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Immigration and the economy. It is a diplomacy based on force. A week ago, his representative, Taylor Rehmet, won a special election to fill a vacancy in the Texas state Senate, defeating her Republican rival by 13 points. In Minnesota, local authorities have denounced that the federal government demanded they hand over those lists in exchange for the withdrawal of ICE agents, whose presence has generated massive protests.
While Trump continues to insist he won the 2020 election, the Department of Justice has seized ballots in Fulton County, Georgia, to investigate the results of that election. A larger percentage (51%) does not have much or any confidence. Another 14% has some confidence.
Submission of classes above sovereignty. Coercive Diplomacy What is coercive diplomacy? The furious Donald Trump. "Of course, we are going to have ICE around the polls when November comes," Bannon affirmed on his War Room podcast. Coercive diplomacy presents itself under the appearance of conventional diplomatic practices, but relies on military or economic power to force another country to submit. Behaving as the world's only superpower, the United States frequently practices coercive diplomacy against any country and at any time, regardless of whether it concerns countries that maintain close relations with the United States.
Or we fix it, or we're going to be left without a country. Almost the same proportion (62%) is very concerned about the cost of housing. The disapproval of 32% among women and nearly 40% among young people (18-29 years) indicates a total disconnect with the new generations. The main driver of this slump is not just ideological.
