Eleven percent of voters still declare themselves undecided or willing to change their opinion in the upcoming elections. According to a New York Times poll conducted by Siena College, Kamala Harris has 49 percent support nationwide, compared to 48 percent for Donald Trump. In key states, Harris leads in four and Trump in three, both within a one-point margin of error.
In some states, the advantage is clearer, with Harris leading by six points or more in Minnesota, New Hampshire, and Virginia, while Trump is ahead in Texas, Florida, and Ohio. The survey highlights the possibility that Harris could achieve 276 electoral votes compared to Trump's 262 if trends hold until election day, although factors such as an underestimation of Trump's support or indecision among some voters could alter the landscape.
Despite a slight trend in favor of Trump in the last two weeks, except in Michigan, polls show a technical tie between him and Kamala Harris. CNN's national poll conducted by SSRS reflects 47 percent support for both Trump and Harris among 1,704 voters, making it the closest result compared to previous polls. In this election, the difference between the two candidates is minimal, contrary to previous results where Trump was trailing in the polls.
CNN emphasizes that, despite the current turbulence, polls show significant stability and a high percentage of determined voters since the beginning of the campaign, with only 15 percent changing their opinion.
